{"id":39272,"date":"2023-11-08T23:56:00","date_gmt":"2023-11-08T15:56:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/?p=39272"},"modified":"2026-06-27T11:41:52","modified_gmt":"2026-06-27T03:41:52","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e5%85%a9%e5%ba%a6%e8%b6%85%e9%81%8e%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%9b%a0%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e5%b0%8e%e8%87%b4%e9%9b%b6%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2023\/11\/08\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e5%85%a9%e5%ba%a6%e8%b6%85%e9%81%8e%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%9b%a0%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e5%b0%8e%e8%87%b4%e9%9b%b6%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\u901a\u81a8\u5c0e\u81f4\u8d85\u904e\u5341\u5e74\u96f6\u5831\u916c\uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1\u767c\u751f\u904e\u5169\u6b21"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_86 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"\u986f\u793a\/\u96b1\u85cf\u5167\u5bb9\u76ee\u9304\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #ffffff;color:#ffffff\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #ffffff;color:#ffffff\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2023\/11\/08\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e5%85%a9%e5%ba%a6%e8%b6%85%e9%81%8e%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%9b%a0%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e5%b0%8e%e8%87%b4%e9%9b%b6%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E4%BA%BA%E6%87%89%E8%A8%AD%E5%AE%9A%E5%90%88%E7%90%86%E7%9A%84%E6%8A%95%E5%A0%B1%E6%9C%9F%E6%9C%9B%E5%80%BC\" >\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u61c9\u8a2d\u5b9a\u5408\u7406\u7684\u6295\u5831\u671f\u671b\u503c<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2023\/11\/08\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e5%85%a9%e5%ba%a6%e8%b6%85%e9%81%8e%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%9b%a0%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e5%b0%8e%e8%87%b4%e9%9b%b6%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E7%BE%8E%E8%82%A1%E5%85%A9%E5%BA%A6%E8%B6%85%E9%81%8E%E5%8D%81%E5%B9%B4%E5%9B%A0%E9%80%9A%E8%86%A8%E5%B0%8E%E8%87%B4%E9%9B%B6%E5%A0%B1%E9%85%AC\" >\u7f8e\u80a1\u5169\u5ea6\u8d85\u904e\u5341\u5e74\u56e0\u901a\u81a8\u5c0e\u81f4\u96f6\u5831\u916c<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2023\/11\/08\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e5%85%a9%e5%ba%a6%e8%b6%85%e9%81%8e%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%9b%a0%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e5%b0%8e%e8%87%b4%e9%9b%b6%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E5%B7%B4%E8%8F%B2%E7%89%B9\" >\u5df4\u83f2\u7279<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2023\/11\/08\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e5%85%a9%e5%ba%a6%e8%b6%85%e9%81%8e%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%9b%a0%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e5%b0%8e%e8%87%b4%e9%9b%b6%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E8%89%BE%E5%88%A9%E6%96%AF\" >\u827e\u5229\u65af<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2023\/11\/08\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e5%85%a9%e5%ba%a6%e8%b6%85%e9%81%8e%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%9b%a0%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e5%b0%8e%e8%87%b4%e9%9b%b6%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E7%9B%B8%E9%97%9C%E6%96%87%E7%AB%A0\" >\u76f8\u95dc\u6587\u7ae0<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E4%BA%BA%E6%87%89%E8%A8%AD%E5%AE%9A%E5%90%88%E7%90%86%E7%9A%84%E6%8A%95%E5%A0%B1%E6%9C%9F%E6%9C%9B%E5%80%BC\"><\/span>\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u61c9\u8a2d\u5b9a\u5408\u7406\u7684\u6295\u5831\u671f\u671b\u503c<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6709\u7121\u6578\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u5927\u5e2b\u90fd\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u5927\u5bb6\u5c0d\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u56de\u5831\u671f\u671b\u592a\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e5f\u592a\u5fc3\u6025\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u80a1\u5e02\u5982\u679c\u80fd\u5920\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5e74\u67094\uff05\uff5e5\uff05\u7684\u771f\u5be6\u7814\u7a76\u56de\u5831\uff08\u6263\u9664\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\uff09\uff0c\u5c31\u5df2\u7d93\u76f8\u7576\u4e0d\u932f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u67e5\u723e\u65af\uff0e\u827e\u5229\u65af\u5728\u5176\u540d\u8457\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Winning-Losers-Game-6th-Strategies\/dp\/0071813659\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6295\u8cc7\u7d42\u6975\u6230\uff08Winning the loser&#8217;s game\uff09<\/a>\u300b\u4e2d\u8aaa\u4e86\u4e00\u53e5\u767c\u4eba\u6df1\u9192\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u754c\u540d\u8a00\u300c\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u6700\u5927\u7684\u932f\u8aa4\u5c31\u662f\u60f3\u64ca\u6557\u5927\u76e4\uff01\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u6211\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2022\/09\/11\/%e6%a8%99%e6%99%ae500%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b8%e5%b9%b4%e5%8c%96%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac%e7%8e%87%e6%9f%a5%e8%a9%a2%e5%99%a8\/\">\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u7387\u67e5\u8a62\u5668<\/a>\u300b\u6240\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u514d\u8cbb\u7dda\u4e0a\u67e5\u8a62\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ee5\u5f97\u77e5\u7f8e\u80a1\u9577\u671f\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u5e73\u5747\u5831\u916c\u662f\u591a\u5c11\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E7%BE%8E%E8%82%A1%E5%85%A9%E5%BA%A6%E8%B6%85%E9%81%8E%E5%8D%81%E5%B9%B4%E5%9B%A0%E9%80%9A%E8%86%A8%E5%B0%8E%E8%87%B4%E9%9B%B6%E5%A0%B1%E9%85%AC\"><\/span>\u7f8e\u80a1\u5169\u5ea6\u8d85\u904e\u5341\u5e74\u56e0\u901a\u81a8\u5c0e\u81f4\u96f6\u5831\u916c<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E5%B7%B4%E8%8F%B2%E7%89%B9\"><\/span>\u5df4\u83f2\u7279<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300a\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u539f\u59cb\u8ad6\u8ff0\u66f8\u7c4d\u2014\u80a1\u795e\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7684\u795e\u8aed\uff08Tap Dancing to Work\uff09\u300b\u88e1\u9762\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7279\u5225\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578\u57281964\u5e7412\u670831\u65e5\u662f874.12\u9ede\uff0c1981\u5e7412\u670831\u65e5\u662f875.00\u3002\u672c\u66f8\u5b8c\u6210\u6642\u76842012\u5e74\uff0c1999\u81f32012\u5e74\uff0c\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578\u7684\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u53ea\u67093.32%\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u66f4\u53ea\u67091.26%\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E8%89%BE%E5%88%A9%E6%96%AF\"><\/span>\u827e\u5229\u65af<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u67e5\u723e\u65af\uff0e\u827e\u5229\u65af\u5728\u5176\u540d\u8457\u300a\u6295\u8cc7\u7d42\u6975\u6230\uff08Winning the loser&#8217;s game\uff09\u300b\u4e2d\u8ac7\u5230\u4e86\u5e7e\u500b\u767c\u4eba\u6df1\u7701\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u9053\u74ca\u6307\u6578\u57281968\u5e74\u548c1982\u5e74\u768414\u5e74\u671f\u9593\u5747\u70ba1000\u9ede\uff0c\u57281964\u5e74\u5e95\u548c1981\u5e74\u5e95\u5747\u70ba875\u9ede\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8aaa\uff0c\u5728\u90a3\u6f2b\u9577\u768417\u5e74\u88e1\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u4f01\u696d\u5229\u6f64\u5927\u589e\uff0c\u4f46\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u5927\u76e4\u6beb\u7121\u9032\u5c55\u3002\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u4f7f\u5229\u7387\u5f9e4\uff05\u6f32\u5230\u4e8615\uff05\uff0c\u9019\u4f7f\u5f97\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"135\" height=\"136\" src=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/zro-1600x1200-1.jpg\" alt=\"\u96f6\u5831\u916c\" class=\"wp-image-40131\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">credit: istockphoto.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E7%9B%B8%E9%97%9C%E6%96%87%E7%AB%A0\"><\/span>\u76f8\u95dc\u6587\u7ae0<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2025\/04\/27\/%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%9e%e5%b7%b4%e8%8f%b2%e7%89%b9%e7%9a%84%e7%a5%9e%e8%ab%ad\/\">\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u539f\u59cb\u8ad6\u8ff0\u66f8\u7c4d\u300a\u80a1\u795e\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7684\u795e\u8aed\uff08Tap Dancing to Work\uff09\u300b<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2026\/06\/26\/%e8%81%af%e6%ba%96%e6%9c%83%e8%aa%bf%e9%99%8d%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e7%82%ba%e4%bd%95%e8%82%a1%e5%83%b9%e6%9c%83%e4%b8%8a%e5%8d%87%ef%bc%9f\/\">\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8abf\u964d\u5229\u7387\u70ba\u4f55\u80a1\u50f9\u6703\u4e0a\u5347\uff1f<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/08\/03\/%e6%a5%b5%e5%85%b6%e6%ba%96%e7%a2%ba%e7%9a%84%e8%a1%b0%e9%80%80%e6%8c%87%e6%a8%99%e8%96%a9%e5%a7%86%e8%a6%8f%e5%89%87%ef%bc%88sahm-rule%ef%bc%89\/\">\u7f8e\u570b\u5df2\u89f8\u767c\u6e96\u78ba\u7387\u767e\u5206\u4e4b\u767e\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u6307\u6a19\u85a9\u59c6\u898f\u5247\uff08Sahm Rule\uff09<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2023\/11\/08\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e5%85%a9%e5%ba%a6%e8%b6%85%e9%81%8e%e5%8d%81%e5%b9%b4%e5%9b%a0%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e5%b0%8e%e8%87%b4%e9%9b%b6%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/\">\u901a\u81a8\u5c0e\u81f4\u8d85\u904e\u5341\u5e74\u96f6\u5831\u916c\uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1\u767c\u751f\u904e\u5169\u6b21<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2025\/07\/02\/%E5%B0%8D%E7%AD%89%E9%97%9C%E7%A8%85%E5%92%8C%E5%8C%AF%E7%8E%87%E5%B0%8D%E7%BE%8E%E8%82%A1%E6%8A%95%E8%B3%87%E4%BA%BA%E7%9A%84%E5%BD%B1%E9%9F%BF\/\">\u5c0d\u7b49\u95dc\u7a05\u548c\u532f\u7387\u5c0d\u7f8e\u80a1\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u7684\u5f71\u97ff<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/06\/27\/%E5%B7%B4%E8%8F%B2%E7%89%B9%E6%8C%87%E6%A8%99\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u8861\u91cf\u80a1\u5e02\u662f\u5426\u904e\u71b1\u5177\u8aaa\u670d\u529b\u7684\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u6307\u6a19\uff08Buffett indicator\uff09<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2021\/09\/29\/%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e4%ba%ba%e7%9a%84%e5%85%a9%e5%a4%a7%e6%ae%ba%e6%89%8b%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e5%92%8c%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87\/\">\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u7684\u4e09\u5927\u6bba\u624b\uff1a\u901a\u81a8\uff0c\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u548c\u7a05\u8ce6<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2021\/07\/04\/%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e7%9c%8b%e5%be%85%e7%b8%bd%e9%ab%94%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e8%b5%b0%e5%8b%a2%e5%92%8c%e9%a0%90%e6%b8%ac%ef%bc%9f\/\">\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u61c9\u5982\u4f55\u770b\u5f85\u7e3d\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u8d70\u52e2\u548c\u9810\u6e2c\uff1f<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2022\/11\/27\/%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e9%9c%80%e8%a6%81%e6%b3%a8%e6%84%8f%e5%8c%af%e7%8e%87%e9%a2%a8%e9%9a%aa%e5%97%8e%ef%bc%9f\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer 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href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2022\/12\/27\/%e9%99%8d%e4%bd%8e%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e6%b3%95%e6%a1%88%e5%b0%8d%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%9a%84%e5%bd%b1%e9%9f%bf\/\">\u300a\u964d\u4f4e\u901a\u81a8\u6cd5\u6848\u5c0d\u7f8e\u80a1\u7684\u5f71\u97ff<\/a><span style=\"font-size: revert;\">\u300b<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2022\/09\/11\/%e6%a8%99%e6%99%ae500%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b8%e5%b9%b4%e5%8c%96%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac%e7%8e%87%e6%9f%a5%e8%a9%a2%e5%99%a8\/\">\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u7387\u67e5\u8a62\u5668<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>\u91cd\u8981\u8072\u660e<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul 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