{"id":56329,"date":"2024-09-02T23:56:00","date_gmt":"2024-09-02T15:56:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/?p=56329"},"modified":"2025-01-22T18:07:36","modified_gmt":"2025-01-22T10:07:36","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u80a1\u767e\u5e74\u7d71\u8a08\uff0c\u53ea\u67099\u6708\u662f\u8ca0\u5831\u916c"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u6211\u5728\u4e09\u5e74\u524d\u5beb\u904e\u4e00\u7bc7\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2021\/09\/22\/%E7%BE%8E%E8%82%A1%E7%9A%84%E5%AD%A3%E7%AF%80%E5%9B%A0%E7%B4%A0\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7f8e\u80a1\u7684\u6f32\u8dcc\u78ba\u5be6\u6709\u5b63\u7bc0\u56e0\u7d20<\/a>\u300b\uff0c\u6709\u8208\u8da3\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u9ede\u95b1\u53c3\u8003\u90a3\u4e00\u7bc7\u4e09\u5e74\u524d\u6211\u6240\u5beb\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_82_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-custom ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"\u986f\u793a\/\u96b1\u85cf\u5167\u5bb9\u76ee\u9304\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #ffffff;color:#ffffff\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" 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href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E6%AD%B7%E5%8F%B2%E6%95%B8%E6%93%9A%E6%9C%83%E8%AA%AA%E8%A9%B1\" >\u6b77\u53f2\u6578\u64da\u6703\u8aaa\u8a71<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E9%81%93%E7%93%8A%E5%B7%A5%E6%A5%AD%E5%B9%B3%E5%9D%87%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B8%E7%9A%84%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%88\" >\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6578\u7684\u7d71\u8a08<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#Wind%E7%9A%84%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%88%E7%B5%90%E6%9E%9C\" >Wind\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u7d50\u679c<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#LPL_Financial%E7%9A%84%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%88%E7%B5%90%E6%9E%9C\" >LPL Financial\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u7d50\u679c<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E8%8A%B1%E6%97%97%E7%9A%84%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%88%E7%B5%90%E6%9E%9C\" >\u82b1\u65d7\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u7d50\u679c<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E5%8F%AF%E8%83%BD%E7%9A%84%E7%90%86%E7%94%B1\" >\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u7406\u7531<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E8%87%B3%E4%BB%8A%E6%B2%92%E4%BA%BA%E8%83%BD%E6%89%BE%E5%87%BA%E4%BB%A4%E4%BA%BA%E4%BF%A1%E6%9C%8D%E7%9A%84%E7%90%86%E7%94%B1\" >\u81f3\u4eca\u6c92\u4eba\u80fd\u627e\u51fa\u4ee4\u4eba\u4fe1\u670d\u7684\u7406\u7531<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E7%84%A1%E6%B3%95%E7%94%A8%E5%B7%A7%E5%90%88%E8%A7%A3%E9%87%8B\" >\u7121\u6cd5\u7528\u5de7\u5408\u89e3\u91cb<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E8%8F%AF%E7%88%BE%E8%A1%97%E7%9A%84%E7%8C%9C%E6%B8%AC\" >\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u7684\u731c\u6e2c<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E9%81%B8%E8%88%89%E5%B9%B4%E5%89%87%E5%A4%A7%E4%B8%8D%E7%9B%B8%E5%90%8C\" >\u9078\u8209\u5e74\u5247\u5927\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e7%99%be%e5%b9%b4%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88%ef%bc%8c%e5%8f%aa%e6%9c%899%e6%9c%88%e6%98%af%e8%b2%a0%e5%a0%b1%e9%85%ac\/#%E7%9B%B8%E9%97%9C%E6%96%87%E7%AB%A0\" >\u76f8\u95dc\u6587\u7ae0<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E6%AD%B7%E5%8F%B2%E6%95%B8%E6%93%9A%E6%9C%83%E8%AA%AA%E8%A9%B1\"><\/span>\u6b77\u53f2\u6578\u64da\u6703\u8aaa\u8a71<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%81%93%E7%93%8A%E5%B7%A5%E6%A5%AD%E5%B9%B3%E5%9D%87%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B8%E7%9A%84%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%88\"><\/span>\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6578\u7684\u7d71\u8a08<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u81ea1890\u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u671f\uff0c\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u5e73\u5747\u6307\u6578\u5275\u7acb\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c9\u6708\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u5831\u916c\u7387\u70ba\u8667\u640d1.1%\u3002\u76f8\u5f62<br>\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5176\u4ed611\u500b\u6708\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u5831\u916c\u7387\u5247\u70ba\u7372\u52290.8%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9053\u74ca\u6578\u64da\u96c6\u5718\u7684\u8cc7\u6599\u986f\u793a\uff0c9\u6708\u662f\u7f8e\u80a1\u6b77\u4f86\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u5dee\u7684\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u81ea1928\u5e74\u6210\u7acb\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u670955%\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u57289\u6708\u4efd\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6b77\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u662f\u8dcc1.01%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u85cd\u7c4c\u80a1\u70ba\u4e3b\u7684\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u53f2\u4e0a9\u6708\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u540c\u6a23\u7cdf\u7cd5\uff0c\u5728127\u5e74\u4e2d\u4e0b\u8dcc70\u6b21\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u8868\u73fe\u70ba\u4e0b\u632b1.03%\u3002\u7d0d\u65af\u9054\u514b\u6307\u6578\u4e5f\u597d\u4e0d\u4e86\u591a\u5c11\uff0c\u81ea1971\u5e74\u5efa\u7acb\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u670945%\u7684\u6642\u9593\u4e0b\u632b\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u70ba\u4e0b\u8dcc0.49%\u3002\u5982\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u57161\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"535\" height=\"346\" src=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Dow-Statistic-Sep-is-worst-return-month.jpg\" alt=\"\u53f2\u4e0a9\u6708\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u5728127\u5e74\u4e2d\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u632b1.03%\u3002\u90a3\u65af\u9054\u514b\u6307\u6578\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u8dcc0.49%\" class=\"wp-image-56358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Dow-Statistic-Sep-is-worst-return-month.jpg 535w, https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Dow-Statistic-Sep-is-worst-return-month-300x194.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 535px) 85vw, 535px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u57161:\u53f2\u4e0a9\u6708\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u5728127\u5e74\u4e2d\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u632b1.03%\u3002\u90a3\u65af\u9054\u514b\u6307\u6578\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u8dcc0.49%(\u4f86\u81eaMarkerWatch)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u9053\u74ca\u5e02\u5834\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u81ea 1937 \u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e 500 \u6307\u6578&nbsp;\u548c\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u65789 \u6708\u5e73\u5747\u8dcc\u5e45\u70ba 1%\uff0c\u800c\u90a3\u65af\u9054\u514b\u6307\u6578&nbsp;\u5e73\u5747\u8dcc\u5e45\u70ba 0.5%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Wind%E7%9A%84%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%88%E7%B5%90%E6%9E%9C\"><\/span>Wind\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u7d50\u679c<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Wind\u6578\u64da\u986f\u793a\uff08\u5982\u4e0b\u57162\u6240\u793a\uff09\uff0c\u81ea1928\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u65789\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u8dcc1.2%\u3002\u96642\u6708\u30019\u6708\u5916\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u5728\u5176\u991810\u500b\u6708\u5747\u5be6\u73fe\u4e86\u6b63\u6536\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"437\" height=\"287\" src=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/100Y_US_Month_Return-Custom.jpg\" alt=\"1928\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u6bcf\u500b\u6708\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u5831\u916c\u7387\" class=\"wp-image-56338\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/100Y_US_Month_Return-Custom.jpg 437w, https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/100Y_US_Month_Return-Custom-300x197.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 437px) 85vw, 437px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u57162: 1928\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u6bcf\u500b\u6708\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u5831\u916c\u7387<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"LPL_Financial%E7%9A%84%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%88%E7%B5%90%E6%9E%9C\"><\/span>LPL Financial\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u7d50\u679c<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>LPL Financial \u6280\u8853\u7b56\u7565\u5e2b\u4e9e\u7576\u7279\u6069\u594e\u65af\u7279\u8868\u793a\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/history-says-the-stock-markets-volatile-august-paves-the-way-for-an-even-worse-september-2019-08-30\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u81ea1950\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e500\u6307\u6578\u57289\u6708\u50c5\u670943%\u7684\u6642\u9593\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u80a1\u5e02\u8868\u73fe\u6700\u5dee\u7684\u6708\u4efd<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E8%8A%B1%E6%97%97%E7%9A%84%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%88%E7%B5%90%E6%9E%9C\"><\/span>\u82b1\u65d7\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u7d50\u679c<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u82b1\u65d7\u96c6\u5718\u5c0d1928\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u6578\u64da\u7684\u5206\u6790\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e500\u6307\u65789\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u5be6\u969b\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6b77\u4f86\u6bd48\u6708\u4efd\u9ad8\u51fa1.5\u9ede\uff0c\u800c10\u6708\u4efd\u5247\u9ad8\u51fa2.5\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E5%8F%AF%E8%83%BD%E7%9A%84%E7%90%86%E7%94%B1\"><\/span>\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u7406\u7531<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E8%87%B3%E4%BB%8A%E6%B2%92%E4%BA%BA%E8%83%BD%E6%89%BE%E5%87%BA%E4%BB%A4%E4%BA%BA%E4%BF%A1%E6%9C%8D%E7%9A%84%E7%90%86%E7%94%B1\"><\/span>\u81f3\u4eca\u6c92\u4eba\u80fd\u627e\u51fa\u4ee4\u4eba\u4fe1\u670d\u7684\u7406\u7531<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u62c9\u91cc\u00b7\u4e01\u7279 (Larry Tint)\uff0cQuantal International \u8463\u4e8b\u9577\u8868\u793a\uff1a<em>\u201c\u5982\u679c\u627e\u5230\u5c0d\u4e5d\u6708\u6548\u61c9\u4ee4\u4eba\u4fe1\u670d\u7684\u89e3\u91cb\u2026\u2026\u6b77\u53f2\u6a21\u5f0f\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u6703\u6d88\u5931\u3002\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b63\u5982\u60a8\u5f9e\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u57163\uff08 1800 \u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u4ee5\u5341\u5e7e\u5e74\u5340\u5206\uff0c9\u6708\u7684\u5831\u916c\u5728\u5168\u5e7412\u500b\u6708\u88e1\u7684\u6392\u540d\uff09\u4e2d\u770b\u5230\u7684\u90a3\u6a23\uff0c\u81ea 1800 \u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u5341\u5e7e\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u9664\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u500b\u5341\u5e74\u5916\uff0c9 \u6708\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u5747\u4f4e\u65bc\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5728\u9019\u5e7e\u5341\u5e74\u88e1\uff0c\u6709\u8d85\u904e\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u5b83\u5728\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u7e3e\u6548\u6392\u540d\u4e2d\u6392\u540d\u7b2c 11 \u6216\u7b2c 12 \u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"445\" height=\"251\" src=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Fig2-Custom.jpg\" alt=\" 1800 \u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u4ee5\u5341\u5e7e\u5e74\u5340\u5206\uff0c9\u6708\u7684\u5831\u916c\u5728\u5168\u5e7412\u500b\u6708\u88e1\u7684\u6392\u540d\" class=\"wp-image-56351\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Fig2-Custom.jpg 445w, https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Fig2-Custom-300x169.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 445px) 85vw, 445px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">\u57163: 1800 \u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u4ee5\u5341\u5e7e\u5e74\u5340\u5206\uff0c9\u6708\u7684\u5831\u916c\u5728\u5168\u5e7412\u500b\u6708\u88e1\u7684\u6392\u540d(\u4f86\u81eaMarkerWatch)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u7a2e\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u8a18\u9304\u662f\u5426\u8868\u793a\u4f60\u61c9\u8a72\u5728\u4e5d\u6708\u51fa\u552e\u80a1\u7968\u5462\uff1f\u7b54\u6848\u662f\u300c\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u6562\u5b8c\u5168\u78ba\u5b9a\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5118\u7ba1 9 \u6708\u7684\u8a18\u9304\u5f88\u7cdf\u7cd5\uff0c\u4f46\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u6578\u64da\u672c\u8eab\u4e26\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u6210\u70ba\u6539\u8b8a\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7684\u7406\u7531\u3002\u7562\u7adf\uff0c\u76f8\u95dc\u6027\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u679c\u95dc\u4fc2\u3002\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u76e1\u4e86\u6700\u5927\u7684\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u81f3\u4eca\u4ecd\u7136\u6c92\u6709\u627e\u5230 9 \u6708\u5dee\u52c1\u8a18\u9304\u7684\u5408\u7406\u89e3\u91cb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E7%84%A1%E6%B3%95%E7%94%A8%E5%B7%A7%E5%90%88%E8%A7%A3%E9%87%8B\"><\/span>\u7121\u6cd5\u7528\u5de7\u5408\u89e3\u91cb<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7121\u8ad6\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u6790\uff0c9\u6708\u90fd\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u7cdf\u7cd5\u6708\u4efd\u3002<br><br>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c9\u6708\u7684\u6c23\u4eba\u8a18\u9304\u4e26\u975e\u53ea\u56e0\u5c11\u6578\u5e7e\u5e74\u8868\u73fe\u7279\u5225\u7cdf\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\u5730\uff0c9\u6708\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u90fd<br>\u63a5\u8fd1\u6216\u6dea\u843d\u81f3\u6392\u540d\u5e95\u90e8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u81ea1900\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u8fd112\u500b\u5341\u5e74\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u6bcf10\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u76849\u6708\u8868\u73fe\u670911\u6b21\u90fd\u4f4e\u65bc\u5e73\u5747\u503c\uff0c<br>\u66f4\u67095\u6b21\u6dea\u843d\u65bc12\u540d\u6bbf\u5e95\uff0c1\u6b21\u70ba11\u540d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E8%8F%AF%E7%88%BE%E8%A1%97%E7%9A%84%E7%8C%9C%E6%B8%AC\"><\/span>\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u7684\u731c\u6e2c<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u5247\u70ba9\u6708\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u4e0d\u4f73\u8868\u73fe\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e09\u7a2e\u89e3\u91cb\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>1.\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u7d50\u675f\u590f\u5b63\u5047\u65e5\u5f8c\uff0c\u8f03\u50be\u5411\u8ce3\u51fa\u80a1\u7968\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2.\u8a31\u591a\u5171\u540c\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u6703\u8a08\u5e74\u5ea6\u4fc2\u65bc9\u670830\u65e5\u7d50\u675f\uff0c\u9019\u8b93\u4ed6\u5011\u57289\u6708\u5927\u641e\u7f8e\u5316\u5e33\u9762\u628a\u6232\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3.\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u88ab\u8feb\u65bc9\u6708\u8ce3\u51fa\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u7c4c\u63aa\u5b50\u5973\u7684\u9ad8\u6602\u5b78\u8cbb\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>9\u6708\u4efd\u4e5f\u662f\u7b2c3\u5b63\u7684\u7e3d\u7d50\u3002\u8a31\u591a\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u6703\u5229\u7528\u9019\u6bb5\u671f\u9593\u91cd\u65b0\u5be9\u67e5\uff0c\u4e26\u91cd\u65b0\u8abf\u6574\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u3002\u570d\u7e5e\u524d\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u7a05\u52d9\u3001\u4f01\u696d\u524d\u666f\u8abf\u6574\u7b49\u8981\u805e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u727d\u52d5\u80a1\u5e02\u8d70\u5411\uff0c\u5e36\u4f86\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E9%81%B8%E8%88%89%E5%B9%B4%E5%89%87%E5%A4%A7%E4%B8%8D%E7%9B%B8%E5%90%8C\"><\/span>\u9078\u8209\u5e74\u5247\u5927\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f9e\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u4e0a\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u671f\u4e2d\u9078\u8209\u5247\u6709\u671b\u6e1b\u8f15\u80a1\u5e02\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u50be\u5411\u3002\u80a1\u7968\u4ea4\u6613\u54e1Jeff Hirsch \u8868\u793a\uff0c\u81ea 1950\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u671f\u4e2d\u9078\u8209\u5e74\u76849\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u80a1\u5e73\u5747\u6f323.84%\uff0c\u662f9\u6708\u6578\u64da\u4e2d\u5c11\u898b\u7684\u6b63\u9762\u8a0a\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E7%9B%B8%E9%97%9C%E6%96%87%E7%AB%A0\"><\/span>\u76f8\u95dc\u6587\u7ae0<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2024\/09\/02\/%E7%BE%8E%E8%82%A1%E7%99%BE%E5%B9%B4%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%88%EF%BC%8C%E5%8F%AA%E6%9C%899%E6%9C%88%E6%98%AF%E8%B2%A0%E5%A0%B1%E9%85%AC\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7f8e\u80a1\u767e\u5e74\u7d71\u8a08\uff0c\u53ea\u67099\u6708\u662f\u8ca0\u5831\u916c<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/blog\/2021\/09\/22\/%E7%BE%8E%E8%82%A1%E7%9A%84%E5%AD%A3%E7%AF%80%E5%9B%A0%E7%B4%A0\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7f8e\u80a1\u7684\u6f32\u8dcc\u78ba\u5be6\u6709\u5b63\u7bc0\u56e0\u7d20<\/a>\u300b<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>\u91cd\u8981\u8072\u660e<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><em>\u672c\u7ad9\u5167\u5bb9\u70ba\u4f5c\u8005\u500b\u4eba\u610f\u898b\uff0c\u50c5\u4f9b\u53c3\u8003\uff0c\u672c\u4eba\u4e0d\u5c0d\u6587\u7ae0\u5167\u5bb9\u3001\u8cc7\u6599\u4e4b\u6b63\u78ba\u6027\u3001\u770b\u6cd5\u3001\u8207\u5373\u6642\u6027\u8ca0\u4efb\u4f55\u8cac\u4efb\uff0c\u8b80\u8005\u8acb\u52d9\u5fc5\u81ea\u884c\u5224\u65b7\u3002<\/em><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em>\u5c0d\u65bc\u8b80\u8005\u76f4\u63a5\u6216\u9593\u63a5\u4f9d\u8cf4\u4e26\u53c3\u8003\u672c\u7ad9\u8cc7\u8a0a\u5f8c\uff0c\u63a1\u53d6\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8cc7\u884c\u70ba\u6240\u5c0e\u81f4\u4e4b\u76f4\u63a5\u6216\u9593\u63a5\u640d\u5931\uff0c\u6216\u56e0\u6b64\u7522\u751f\u4e4b\u4e00\u5207\u8cac\u4efb\uff0c\u672c\u4eba\u5747\u4e0d\u8ca0\u4efb\u4f55\u640d\u5bb3\u8ce0\u511f\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u6cd5\u5f8b\u4e0a\u4e4b\u8cac\u4efb\u3002<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>9\u6708\u662f\u8ca0\u5831\u916c\uff0c\u81f3\u4eca\u6c92\u4eba\u80fd\u627e\u51fa\u4ee4\u4eba\u4fe1\u670d\u7684\u7406\u7531\uff1a\u81ea1928\u5e74\u6210\u7acb\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u670955%\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u57289\u6708\u4efd\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6b77\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u662f\u8dcc1.01%\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":56338,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[251,1588],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stock-knowledge","category-historical-statistic"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56329","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56329"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56329\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56338"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56329"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56329"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.granitefirm.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56329"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}